First, I’d like to wish all my blog readers a happy new year. I’ve been away over the Christmas period and I’m now back in action so the blog will spring to life once more for 2008. What better way to start the year than to take a look at some of the outsourcing trends that might be making the news in 2008?
Some commentators have noted that the biggest trend in outsourcing this year is that there is no change, a steady-as-she-goes approach. In some ways that is true because the market is maturing, with both buyers and suppliers getting better at what they do and creating fewer surprises, but there are a few changes I predict this year.
First, let’s look at some of those ‘no changes’ to kick off the predictions. The US dollar exchange rate will continue to be an issue for many service companies billing in dollars and with costs in another currency. More mergers or acquisition activity can be expected – maybe this is the year one of the Indian majors will buy into the big league as rumours continue to suggest? The Indian technology firms will certainly continue their exploration of the consulting territory and buyers will insist on more flexible contracts.
So far, so similar to 2007. There are some new developments such as remote infrastructure management starting to grow and develop in importance now many of the offshore players are developing in stature, but I think the real story in outsourcing for this year will be the impact of the green agenda.
In most cases, companies that are overtly going green and examining the impact of their organisation on the environment are dealing directly with consumers. Consumers are becoming more concerned about the environment and those companies are responding to this consumer demand. The retailer Marks & Spencer has pledged to be carbon neutral by 2012. The supermarket Tesco plans to include carbon footprint labelling on all its products soon. Online bank First Direct installed new technology to reduce its use of electricity.
And looking beyond retailers and banks, the travel sector has the most to lose by not being seen as green by consumers. Airlines such as EasyJet are working hard to convince passengers that they can still fly and have a clear conscience.
The consumer is demanding these measures and pledges by socially aware companies. So how does that affect the outsourcing market? It’s very simple, because Marks & Spencer buys services from other companies, as Tesco does, as First Direct does. Every company sits in a supply chain, but where outsourcing contracts are involved it is becoming more common now for these socially responsible companies to insist on the same behaviour from their suppliers. If suppliers have not seen a request for proposal yet insisting on a statement of their green credential yet then they certainly will in 2008.
One trend that I foresee stalling in 2008 is the fledging African outsourcing story. I have talked about the opportunities in Africa before and though nothing has fundamentally changed, when stories such as the crisis of democracy in Kenya sit at the top of the news agenda it does not give foreign investors confidence to try out a new market for services. I was talking to The Times last month about opportunities for Kenya and frankly it looks a bit optimistic now. I mean, if you were exploring regions to work with right now and your job depended on getting it right then would Kenya still be on your list of places to visit?
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